{
 "meta": {
  "copyright": "© Odds The Law (oddsthelaw.com). Precomputed dataset; all rights reserved.",
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-29T12:53:21.171Z",
  "model": "Every point an independent trial at a fixed probability for the server. Exact: every loop in tennis scoring (deuce, the tiebreak win-by-two stage, an advantage set) closes in a formula. Serve order is carried set to set rather than reset.",
  "assumption": "Every figure assumes each point is an independent trial at a fixed strength for the server. That is an assumption, not a fact about tennis. A study of 86,298 points at Wimbledon from 1992 to 1995 (Klaassen and Magnus, \"Are Points in Tennis Independent and Identically Distributed?\", Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2001) found that real points are not quite like this, and that the divergence is small. Read these figures as exact for players who serve every point at the same strength.",
  "edgeDefinition": "The better player wins `edge` more points per point on serve and on return, so between otherwise equal players they take roughly 50% + edge of all points.",
  "formats": {
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    "finalSet": "tiebreak7",
    "noAd": false
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    "set": "tiebreak7",
    "finalSet": "matchTiebreak10",
    "noAd": false
   },
   "bo3NoAdMatchTb": {
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    "set": "tiebreak7",
    "finalSet": "matchTiebreak10",
    "noAd": true
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   "bo5": {
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    "finalSet": "tiebreak7",
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   "bo5FinalTb10": {
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    "finalSet": "tiebreak10",
    "noAd": false
   },
   "bo5AdvantageFinal": {
    "id": "bo5AdvantageFinal",
    "bestOf": 5,
    "set": "tiebreak7",
    "finalSet": "advantage",
    "noAd": false
   }
  }
 },
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