The Side Bets

Every blackjack table now carries two or three extra circles, and the pitch is always the same: a small wager, a big payout, a bit of fun alongside a game with almost no house edge left in it. This page prices all four of the common ones exactly — every published pay table, at every deck count — and the answer is not close.

The best side bet on the felt keeps 3.24% of what you put on it. The main game keeps 0.4568%. That is 7.1× as expensive for the best of them and 54× for the worst.

0%7%14%21%28%21+3 — OriginalRoyal Match — Royal 25:121+3 — TieredPerfect Pairs — Pay table DPerfect Pairs — Pay table BPerfect Pairs — Pay table ALucky Ladies — Pay table DRoyal Match — Royal 25:1Perfect Pairs — Pay table C21+3 — XtremeLucky Ladies — Pay table BLucky Ladies — Pay table A3.24%3.7%4.14%4.18%5.79%6.11%6.22%6.67%9.97%13.39%17.64%24.71%

House edge at six decks, every published pay table · the dashed line is the main game at 0.4568%

The name is not the bet

Look at how many times the same name appears in that chart at different heights. A house edge quoted for “21+3” with no pay table attached is the same offence as a house edge quoted with no rule set attached: at six decks it runs from 3.24% to 13.39% — a factor of 4.1 — with the same logo on the felt and the same cards in your hand. The only thing that changed is the little printed table nobody reads.

That is the one genuinely actionable thing on this page. You cannot play these bets well, but you can read the pay table before you put money on one, and the difference between the good version and the bad version of the same bet is larger than the difference between two different bets.

More decks is better, which is backwards

Everything about the main game says fewer decks is better for the player. Every single one of the 12 multi-deck pay tables here does the opposite: Perfect Pairs’s worst table goes from 54.90% at 1 deck to 3.37% at 8.

The reason is the same in every case, and it is the neatest fact here: these bets pay for duplicate cards — matching ranks, matching suits, three of a kind — and duplicates only exist because the shoe holds more than one deck. The cleanest demonstration is Perfect Pairs, whose top tier is the identical card twice over. In a single deck that is not unlikely, it is impossible: there is no second ace of spades. Add decks and you are not improving your odds on a fixed bet, you are creating the outcomes the bet pays for.

The four bets

How these were worked out

Nothing here is simulated. Each figure is an exact count of combinations over a suited shoe — 52 distinct cards with one copy per deck — which is why it can be checked against a published table to the last decimal, and all of it was. The enumeration is proved complete a second way: every run totals the combinations it has classified and requires that sum to equal the number of ways to pick those cards from the shoe.

That care matters more than usual here, because the obvious way to count a three-card bet is a trap. A suited three of a kind is simultaneously a three of a kind and a flush, so subtracting overlaps one at a time quietly misses it and produces a confident, plausible, wrong number. Counting the categories disjointly in precedence order cannot make that mistake.

One pay table is deliberately shown at a single deck only. Extrapolated to six it computes to a player advantage, which is arithmetically true and describes a bet no casino deals; printing it would be publishing a beatable side bet that does not exist.

Sources for every pay table are on the individual pages. None of this is advice to play these bets — the arithmetic here is an argument against all of them, and the only useful move is reading the pay table before you decide.

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