Do you know the right play?

Basic strategy is completely solved — there’s exactly one correct answer for every hand. Most people get the tricky ones wrong: splitting 8s against a dealer 10, hitting a stiff 16, doubling a soft 18. This quiz is weighted toward exactly those hands.

Streak 0
Best 0
Question 1/10

Answers come from the exact expected-value engine, not a rule of thumb.

You have Soft 16. Dealer shows 5.

What does basic strategy say? (Dealer stands on soft 17, double after split allowed.)

Pick the answer you think is right.

What a score here actually means

The questions are drawn from 26 hand classes against all 10 dealer up-cards — 260 spots, filtered to the totals where basic strategy is least obvious. That pool has a shape, and knowing it is the difference between a score and a number. The correct answer is Hit 40% of the time, Stand 23% of the time, Split 20% of the time, Double 17% of the time.

So there is a floor worth knowing before you start: a player who never reads the question and always taps Hit scores 40.0%. Guessing uniformly at random scores about 30%. Anything at or below 40% means the quiz has told you nothing you did not get for free — which is a more useful thing for a quiz to admit than a congratulatory message.

Most of it is recall, and the rest is the argument

Of those 260 spots, only 22 — 8.5% — are genuinely close, meaning the best play beats the runner-up by less than 0.02 of a unit. The other 238 have a clear answer, so getting them wrong is a memory failure rather than a judgement call. The tight ones are where every argument you have ever heard at a table lives, and this site gives each of them its own page.

The tightest in the whole pool is Hard 16 against a 10, where hit wins by 0.0006 of a unit. That is the most argued-about hand in blackjack, and playing it the wrong way every single time you held it would cost you 0.0129 house-edge points — see what that is in money. The decisions people argue about are the cheap ones, which is not a coincidence: a call only becomes contentious when the two options are worth almost the same.

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